... we have the Joanne-inspired head-in-sand-itude:
Bad news for Lizzy May and company
Environment Canada forecasts "coldest winter in almost 15 years".
for which earlier commenter "m@" suggests the perfect comic comeback:
I don't see how you can improve on that, so I'm not even going to try.
3 comments:
Yeah, I saw that one from M@'s link. Cracked me up!
Yay! One statistical anomaly means we can continue to shit in our own bedrooms and not smell it!
For those right wingers out there, you should keep this in mind before cracking yourselves up. Basic statistical analysis is not on your side.
50% of all data lies within 1.4 standard deviations from the mean. 98% of all data lies within 7 standard deviations of the mean. The remaining 2% of the data lies outside.
The mean is in this case, the global climate. Weather is not the same as climate. Weather is what is going on NOW. Climate is the statistical average of the weather for an area over an extended period of time.
Therefore Climate is not determined by any one day nor any one year period. So next time you step outside and it happens to be cold, and you say "Global warming is a myth" I reserve the right to beat you with a claw hammer.
Would you move to Seattle because you happen to see a picture of the one damned day a year that that it's not rainy and grey? Would you refuse to move to Florida because you visited on the one day a year that it's below 40 degrees? Not unless you're an idiot you would (oh... ok maybe that's what your problem is).
All this means is that the larger the sample size the more anomalies you're going to see. Unfortunately for you, we have climate data going back the last hundred years or so with highly accurate climate data for the last twenty years and it shows that temperatures are trending UPWARDS over time. I don't know what you idiots are looking at but you need to do more than look outside and chuckle because it's cold on one day. I realize critical thinking is difficult for right wingers but it's time to start.
Otherwise I will start going out on every day that's above 80 degrees F in the summer and proclaiming Global Warming a real because 'Today is hot'.
e in md writes:
"98% of all data lies within 7 standard deviations of the mean."
I don't think so. Speaking as a mathematician, I can assure that, for a normal distribution, around 95% of the data lies within two standard deviations, while 99.7% lies within three standard deviations.
So, while technically you're correct, you're being unnecessarily expansive with your numbers.
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